Restaurant Consulting NYC | The Dog Days of Summer How to Manage During a Downturn in Business | 4Q Consulting, LLC

The Dog Days of Summer

How to Manage During a Downturn in Business

Summer in the NY Metro Region is often a slow period for area restaurants – as the temperature and humidity rise while kids are out of school, customers escape the heat to take vacations and many leave for weekends.  Being able to nimbly anticipate these slow weeks and make changes to your operation will allow you to survive the dog days of summer without taking a financial hit.

As we discussed in our last blog, The Value of A Good Business Plan, a restaurant is a living breathing entity that requires constant reevaluation. Now restaurateurs must understand the value of being flexible when the thermostat rises and business levels fall off as people escape the heat.

Here are four key things to help manage your restaurant in a short downturn:

Adjust Your Cash Flow Management – Many restaurants fail not because they are unprofitable, but because they ultimately become insolvent. The single most important step for survival of your restaurant when business slows is to rigorously manage your cash. Calculate what your cash flow needs will be based on both your estimated fixed and variable expenses.  Know what your break-even point is, as sometimes a viable cash management strategy is to close the business for the slowest portion of the slower season.  And lastly, adjust the way you operate to further reduce your variable expenses.

Adjust Your Variable Expenses – Variable expenses are those expenses that change based on your level of business – the largest controllable categories being food and labor costs.  From Where Oh Where Has My Margin Gone?, we know that labor is a restaurant’s largest variable expense and is only becoming more costly.  Planning for this fall-off in business is key in being able to scale back schedules in advance, rotate out vacations among the staff and utilize staff that has been cross-trained – increasing productivity per work hour.   If you have staff standing around staring at the walls, you have too much staff on hand.  Lowering total payroll also lowers payroll taxes and payroll processing fees.  Other controllable variable expenses can include paper goods, any merchandise, some utilities and maintenance.

Adjust Your Menu Offerings – Changing your menu can also impact food, beverage and labor costs. Consider replacing some menu offerings with less expensive items using seasonal and local ingredients. Consider lightening your menu to offer more salads and refreshing cold options.  You don’t want potential customers not to consider coming to your restaurant on a hot, sticky day because your menu is too heavy.  Furthermore, less labor-intensive preparations allow you to work with less staff.  Guests, by nature, tend to eat less and lighter fare when the thermostat rises.  Cooking with what is locally in season is always less costly than using out-of-season imported items.  

Adjust Your Purchasing and Inventory Management – When items are not flying out of your walk-in or your stock room, you should look at what you are buying and how you are buying it.  Intelligently reducing the overall number of offerings on your menu can increase your product cross-utilization allowing you to carry a smaller inventory – both in number of inventory items and quantity of each item you stock.  Analyze what is selling, at the best profit margin, and either remove the non-selling items or find creative ways to reinvent them.  By sitting on non-moving inventory, especially alcoholic beverages, you are just tying up your cash flow.

Being aware and flexible about managing your business in the Dog Days of Summer can help keep your bottom line from melting away.

Email us today for a free business consultation at www.4qconsult.com.  We help restaurants be profitable, from Start-ups to existing restaurants looking for a fresh set of eyes.  4Q Consulting, LLC can develop customized plans and operational guidelines to survive a slow period of business!

All original content copyright Noelle E. Ifshin, 2016-2017. 

Noelle E. Ifshin, President, 4Q Consulting, LLC 

noelle@4qconsult.com  

www.4qconsult.com 

244 5th Avenue, Suite 1430, NY, NY 10001  

(212) 340-1137

Restaurant Consulting NYC | Are You Being Penny Wise and Pound Foolish? How to Consider Managing Your Restaurant’s Big Purchases | 4Q Consulting, LLC

Are You Being Penny Wise and Pound Foolish?

How to Consider Managing Your Restaurant’s Big Purchases

If you are putting off upgrading your aging restaurant equipment or are not investing in equipment that makes you the most productive, you could be harming your business while trying to save money.  As discussed in our last blog, Where Oh Where Have My Margins Gone, the current financial challenges in the restaurant business are on the rise with increasing labor regulations, higher wages and market pressures. Many restaurateurs are thinking that with rising costs there is no way they could possibly spend for new, expensive equipment, technology or software.

Before “cutting off your nose to spite your face”, analyze how you can monetize a capital investment by growing your sales, cutting your costs and delivering a consistent, quality product.

The purchase price might be a big number, but if you use the 4Q Approach, it shouldn’t be that scary:

Quantify Your Purchase.  To quantify this big spend, you need to fully understand your business and the economies of the purchase.  If you are buying a rotisserie for your restaurant, do you buy the small manual unit or the larger capacity, automated unit?  To answer this, you need to calculate how many more chickens you need to sell to recoup the cost of the larger unit.  If you can increase output – to sell more, and create a more consistent (better) product with little added labor - the increase in cost from one unit to another is easy to overcome.  Additionally, you can profit by the flexibility a larger unit affords, offering a wider range of rotisserie menu items.

Qualify Your Purchase.  Very often restaurants put off installing new or upgraded equipment due to sticker shock.  Upgraded equipment can often lower your ever-increasing variable costs, optimize work flow, or offer up solutions to operational challenges. This can lead to improved product quality and, in turn, repeat business. More efficient equipment can possibly replace part or all of your labor cost by lowering the number of man hours needed to monitor product produced on old, inefficient equipment.  Think about an older rotisserie that most be continuously monitored to prevent burnt or unevenly cooked chickens – in this example both your labor and food costs can be impacted.  Additionally, modern equipment can lower energy costs and replace the cost of constantly repairing older units.  

Quantitative Analysis of Your Purchase.  Most large equipment or software expenditures can be financed in some way, so you don't have to lay out a large chunk of money all at once.  When investing in your business, don’t go part way: buy the equipment you need to improve efficiency, and grow your business.  When you decide to buy a new car, to replace the Junker that is constantly in for repairs, you buy the entire car - you wouldn’t buy the tires one month, the engine the following month and the chassis the third month.  Instead, you would finance your large expenditure to make the price palatable.  You must analyze the impact buying new equipment has on your restaurant operations.  What you can potentially save in your cash flow, by being more efficient, can be used to finance your new purchase. Sometimes, new equipment “pays for itself”.

Query about Your Purchase – Before making a large capital expenditure is it always a good idea to speak to your accountant or financial adviser.  Make sure you understand the depreciation and tax benefit implications of a capital investment in advance.    Additionally, there are often state rebates and incentives for installing new, more energy efficient kitchen equipment that can help offset the purchase price.

Making smart, planned decisions on your large capital expenditures can often help you grow, and streamline your business for the long term.  

Don’t know where to begin?  Do you know how to and procedures in place to be as successful as possible?  www.4qconsult.com can develop customized operational guidelines to meet your needs. 

All original content copyright Noelle E. Ifshin, 2016-2017. 

Noelle E. Ifshin
President
4Q Consulting, LLC 
noelle@4qconsult.com  
www.4qconsult.com 
244 5th Avenue, Suite 1430, NY, NY 10001  
(212) 340-1137

Restaurant Consulting NYC | Between the Lines - Operational Challenges That Can Make or Break Your Restaurant | 4Q Consulting, LLC

Between the Lines - Operational Challenges 

That Can Make or Break Your Restaurant

Today’s restaurants face many challenges: intense competition; rising cost of goods and real estate; and the slow U.S. economy - just to name a few. Restaurants average profit rates of 3-5% of sales* - thin margins by any measure. However, poor management can make those margins evaporate faster than a sauté pan of boiling water. It is no wonder that 60% of all restaurants fail within the first three years **

As a restaurant owner, you oversee all areas of your business.  These can be separated into three basics: Finance, Sales and Marketing, and Operations. Yet with only so many hours in a day, many owners neglect the breadth of their responsibilities, and only watch their revenue.  Sales and marketing is important in getting customers into your restaurant, and we covered this at length in Attracting Customers.  However, it is what happens within your operation, between top-line sales and bottom-line profits, which makes or breaks your business.

Here are the 4 biggest challenges that can make or break your restaurant:

Poor Financial Controls – Owners often watch their sales daily, while not watching their costs and expenses as diligently.  Common sense points out that if your profit margin is zero it will always be zero, regardless of sales level, unless you change something. Restaurants should measure costs in relation to sales on a weekly basis, as discussed in both Why a Weekly Food and Beverage Inventory is Crucial to your Small Business and Does your Restaurant Compile a Weekly P&L Statement.  Reviewing weekly statements allows you to spot problems and make operational adjustments much sooner than waiting until the full P&L at month’s end: improper product ordering and handling, waste, cash management and employee theft can be significant drains on your business, every day.  

As revealed in How Much of your Profits are Being Eaten by Employee Theft, many employees steal because they can get away with it, and few restaurants have the right controls in place to prevent it. Further, Measure by Measure and 4 Simple Ways Your Restaurant Employees Can Help You Be More Profitable showed how not controlling spoilage, waste and improper portioning can decimate your small margins. 

Poor Staff Training – As we stated in our Blog:  A Well Trained Staff is Your Secret Weapon, “People run your business and your business is only as good as your people. An effective training program is an owner’s key tool to ensure consistency in product and customer service, which is a basic tenet of running a restaurant.”  This is true for all staff, at all levels.  

With a properly trained staff you have less waste in your restaurant.  A short list of why this is includes: Training mangers on proper inventory and ordering avoids excess product; stewards on proper product storage and handling avoids spoilage; cooks and bartenders on proper recipe execution and production levels maintains portion controls; and servers on proper use of the POS system minimizes incorrect orders, misfires and voids.

Poor Quality Control – Quality Control is all about consistency. In our experience, consistency is best achieved by adhering to standard operating procedures that are codified in writing. As outlined in 4 Reasons Why Your Restaurant Needs an Employee Handbook, recipe books, job-specific handbooks, and training manuals standardize tasks and clearly communicate to employees your expectations and the standard to which they will be held. These procedures should cover, in detail, every process in your establishment, from purchasing guidelines to how to deal with an unhappy customer. As boring and unsexy as it sounds, excellence comes from consistency, which can only come from diligence and attention to detail. If customers know what to expect every time they walk in your door, they will keep coming back.

Poor Leadership – Whether it is you, as the owner, or an outside hire running your restaurant, there is a big difference between being a manager and being a leader. As discussed at length in Follow the Leader, “In order to lead rather than just manage, which is vital in today’s diverse, fast-paced world, one must be able to be more than a day-to-day task master. While a manager deals with the technical dimension in an organization or the job content, a leader marshals resources, human and otherwise, for the best possible results.”  Leaders communicate vision, build relationships and trust, train, coach and mentor, and encourage change and risk-taking.

Often, managers who come up through the ranks are not properly trained as managers and make common mistakes.  In the Top 4 Mistakes Managers Make in Managing People, we discuss how “Managers are the front line representation of your business and must effectively work with a diverse group of people. They must live and breathe your company core values and practices.”

Restaurant success depends on many things, but it can all boil down to one question: Where does the money go? Having a handle on your operations is a key to answering this question. Have processes and procedures to reduce economic drains, train your staff to follow them, hold them accountable and have trustworthy leaders in your organization. Additionally, you must be vigilant that your standards are upheld, and make changes as needed. It doesn’t hurt to get an outside, objective opinion from time to time as a gut check whether it is a consultant or mystery shopper

Don’t know where to begin?  4Q Consulting can develop customized business and operational guidelines to help you start and run your business.  Email us today for a free business consultation at www.4qconsult.com.

All original content copyright Noelle E. Ifshin, 2014-2015. 
   

Restaurant Consulting NYC | The Big Chill | 4Q Consulting, LLC

The Big Chill

The coldest air in almost 20 years has swept the nation this week with 90% of the country being issued freeze warnings.  Combine record snow falls from Storm Hercules last week, a vicious cold snap and the Farmer’s Almanac’s 2014 forecast for a colder and snowier winter than the average, and we have a recipe for rising commodity prices now and well into the spring.

Food and commodity prices are driven by basic supply and demand and tend to be inelastic – once they rise, they are slow to fall below the increased level.  This means that prices continue to go up, driving up operating costs.

These price increases can and will affect all aspects of the restaurant business, and operators must pay close attention to commodity prices and availability.  Now is the time to start planning for your spring menus and pricing levels, so as not to be caught off guard. 

Here are 4 possible increases to watch out for:

Meat Prices – According to Bloomberg, “Cattle futures reached $1.371 a pound this week, the highest since Chicago trading began in 1964.” This increase in futures pricing is due to several factors, most of which is uncertainty in yield levels at slaughter houses. In colder months, and in harsh weather, livestock need more feed to keep warm, increasing livestock farmers’ operating costs. Since livestock use more of their energy to stay warm in these conditions, they do not gain as much weight, resulting in a decrease in supply.

Dairy Prices – Dairy cattle, like beef cattle, will also use more energy to stay warm and have lower weights.  Lower weight dairy cattle produce less milk, which in turn lowers supply and raises prices.  Additionally, the on-going debate in the US Congress over the Dairy Policy portion, of the yet-to-be passed Farm Bill, is causing more uncertainty in the dairy market.  Unless a new Farm Bill is passed before March 1, 2014, the odds are dairy prices will fluctuate significantly until the un-subsidized dairy market can settle into normal supply and demand patterns.

Produce and Grain Prices – A deep freeze obviously harms produce crops.  Usually, these disruptions in the planting and growing seasons are contained in a few specific regions of the U.S.  This week all 50 states issued an unprecedented number of freeze warnings, affecting all regions of the U.S.  In Florida, the world’s second largest citrus-producing region after Brazil, this week’s freeze potentially harmed up to 15% of the citrus plants. This can have resounding impact for pricing going forward.

Wheat futures on the Chicago Board of Trade climbed as much as 1.2% this week, Bloomberg reports: “ 'As much as 15% of winter-wheat plants in the Great Plains face damage’, as stated by Kyle Tapley, a senior agricultural meteorologist at MDA Weather Services in Gaithersburg, Maryland.” This has implications for all grain-based products well into the spring and summer months.  Expect increases in raw cereals and flours and possible increases from your Bakery and Bread suppliers.

Energy Prices – Energy prices are on the rise due to demand and scarcity.  When the temperatures drop, demand for energy increases as we turn up the thermostat, while production of gas, oil and coal slows and can even stop, driving up prices.  Increased energy prices affect all other commodity prices, as it is more expensive to bring those products to market.  Additionally, increased energy costs affect restaurants by increasing the costs of product delivery and fuel surcharges, heating your restaurant space, heating your hot water and using your kitchen appliances.

During a cycle of limited energy supply and increased energy prices, farmers who grow corn may get a better price for their limited crop selling it for Ethanol production rather than feed. This in turn can drive up the price of feed and the cost of raising farm animals, pushing meat and dairy prices up, as well as cutting the supply of grain on the market with the price impact there as well  . . .  It is all connected.

As a business owner, you must be aware of all of the external economic forces that affect your business and be able to plan for them. As we head into this very cold and snowy winter, keeping an eye on costs and energy usage, and appropriately adjusting your menu and offerings, to maintain your quality and profitability will be a must for operators.
  
Don’t know where to begin? 4Q Consulting can develop customized operational guidelines to help you manage your costs through all stages of your business.  Email us today for a free business consultation at www.4qconsult.com. 

All original content copyright Noelle E. Ifshin, 2013-2014.